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Indian Pediatr 2021;58:149-151 |
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Predictive Value of IAP
2015, IAP 2007 and WHO Growth Charts in Identifying Pathological
Short Stature
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Riddhi Patel, 1,2
Chetankumar Dave,1,2
Neha Agarwal,1,2
Hemangkumar Mendpara,1,3
Rishi Shukla1 and
Anurag Bajpai1,2
From the 1Department of Pediatric Endocrinology, Regency
Center for Diabetes Endocrinology and Research, Kanpur and 2GROW
Society, Growth and Obesity Workforce, 3Department of
Pediatric Critical Care, Kanpur, India.
Correspondence to: Dr Anurag Bajpai, Department of Pediatric
Endocrinology, Regency Center for Diabetes Endocrinology and Research,
Kanpur 208 001, Uttar Pradesh, India.
Email: [email protected]
Received: April 19, 2020;
Initial review: July 07, 2020;
Accepted: December 22, 2020.
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Objective: To compare the diagnostic accuracy of
IAP 2015, WHO and IAP 2007 growth charts in identifying pathological
short stature in Indian children.
Methodology: The predictive value of the growth
charts for pathological short stature was assessed in 500 (266 boys)
short subjects (age 5-17.9 years) presenting to our pediatric endocrine
clinic.
Results: WHO, IAP 2015, IAP 2007 criteria
classified 500, 410 (82%) and 331 (66.2%) subjects short respectively. A
total of 218 (43.6%) subjects had a pathological cause. Two out of 90
subjects short by WHO criteria but normal as per IAP 2015 had a
pathological cause (2.2%) whereas 38 out of 79 subjects short as per WHO
and IAP 2015 criteria but normal by IAP 2007 had pathological short
stature. The diagnostic measures of IAP 2015 and IAP 2007 charts in
identifying pathological short stature showed a sensitivity 99.1% and
81.7%, negative predictive value 97.8% as against 76.3%, positive
predictive value 52.7% and 53.8%, and specificity of 31.2% and 45.7%,
respectively.
Conclusions: IAP 2015 growth charts are superior
in identifying pathological growth failure compared to WHO and IAP 2007.
Keywords: Growth chart, Growth failure,Validation.
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S hort stature is the one of the most
common complaint presenting to a pediatrician. Most short
children have a physiological cause not requiring extensive
evaluation, a substantial proportion; however, have a serious
underlying cause [1]. Differentiating physiological from
pathological short stature is pivotal to allow a rational
evaluation where growth charts are used as a non-invasive tool.
Currently used growth charts for Indian
children include WHO, IAP 2007 and IAP 2015 [2-5]. Significant
impact of ethnicity and environmental factors on growth makes
country specific charts desirable. The Indian Academy of
Pediatrics (IAP) growth monitoring committee in 2007 recommended
growth charts develo-ped from major urban affluent zones of
India in 1989-91 [3]. These were replaced by IAP 2015 charts
based on collated data of 33,148 Indian children of age 5 to 18
years across 14 centers [5]. The use of WHO criteria has shown
to classify greater number of children as short compared to IAP
2015 and IAP 2007 charts [6,7]. These studies have; however, not
addressed predictive value of these criteria in identifying
pathological short stature [8,9]. We conducted this study to
compare WHO, IAP 2007 and IAP 2015 criteria to identify
pathological short stature in children and adolescents between
the age of 5 and 18 years.
Methods
Case records of children and adolescents
between 5-18 years of age presenting to the pediatric endocrine
clinic of our hospital with short stature from January 2015 to
December 2018 were reviewed after institutional ethics committee
approval. Height was measured using a portable stadiometer
(Model 213, Seca scale, Germany) up to an accuracy of 1 mm.
Subjects were asked to stand on the platform with heels
together, toes apart and back of the occiput, shoulder blades,
buttocks and heels in contact with the backboard. Readings were
taken in triplicate and averaged. The stadiometer was calibrated
daily with Seca Calibration Rod. Weight was measured using Seca
Scale till 100 grams which was calibrated daily.
The anthropometric parameters were converted
to Z-score using WHO Anthroplus software, and macros
derived from IAP 2007, and IAP 2015 growth charts. Children with
height Z-score less than -2 as per WHO criteria were
evaluated for etiology of short stature as per institutional
protocol. The work-up included a comprehensive clinical
examination and screening tests (complete blood count, alanine
aspartate transferase, creatinine, free T4, thyroid stimulating
hormone, tissue transglutaminase antibody, and serum
electrolytes) in all and further work-up as required (karyotype
in girls, growth hormone stimulation test, genetic tests, venous
blood gas, etc.). Subjects with normal work-up and growth
velocity over a six-month period were diagnosed as physiological
short stature. Children short by WHO but normal by IAP 2007 and
2015 criteria were excluded from the study if their weight SDS
was below -2 as per the IAP 2007 or 2015, indicating the need
for evaluation irrespective of height. A sample size of 340 was
required considering a prevalence of pathological short stature
of 33% [10], 95% confidence and a standard error of 0.05.
Data were analyzed using the IBM Statistical
Package for Social Sciences (SPSS version 25.0, SPSS, Inc) for
Macintosh, and expressed as mean (standard deviation) and
frequency (percentage). Sensitivity, specificity, positive
predictive value, negative predictive values and likelihood
ratio of IAP 2015, IAP 2007 criteria were calculated. P value
less than 0.05 was considered significant.
RESULTS
Seven hundred and forty children (377 boys)
presented with a concern of short stature to our clinic during
the study period. Forty children with incomplete data and 190
with normal stature were excluded. The WHO, IAP 2007 and IAP
2015 criteria labelled 510 (72.6%), 410 (58.2%) and 331 (47%)
subjects short, respectively. Ten subjects labelled short by
WHO, and normal by IAP 2007 and IAP 2015 were excluded as their
weight z-score was below -2 by IAP 2007 or IAP 2015
criteria. The final analysis was performed in 500 subjects (266
boys) with mean (SD) age of 11.8 (3.1) years. The height z-score
was above -2 in 90 (18%), between -2 to -3 in 245 (49%), and
below -2 in 165 (33%) as per IAP 2015 criteria.
A pathological cause of short stature was
identified in 218 (43.6%) and included celiac disease (83,
16.6%), growth hormone deficiency (78, 15.6%), hypothyroidism
(33, 6.6%), Turner syndrome (8, 1.6%), chronic illness (8, 1.6%)
and other syndromes (8, 1.6%). Among the 218 subjects, 216 (99%)
were short by IAP 2015 and 178 (81.6%) by IAP 2007 criteria.
Ninety subjects short by WHO criteria had normal stature as per
IAP 2015. A pathological cause was identified in 38 of the 79
subjects (48.1%) short as per both WHO and IAP 2015 but normal
by the IAP 2007 criteria. The sensitivity, specificity, negative
predictive value and positive predictive value specificity of
IAP 2015 and 2007 in identifying pathological short stature are
shown in Table I. Identification of one child with
pathological cause would have required evaluation of 45 subjects
short by WHO but normal by IAP 2015.
Table I Diagnostic Performance of IAP 2007 and IAP 2015 Criteria for Identifying Pathological Short Stature (N=500)
Diagnostic measure |
IAP 2007 |
IAP 2015 |
PPV |
53.8% |
52.7% |
NPV |
76.3% |
97.8% |
Sensitivity |
81.7% |
99.1% |
Specificity |
45.7% |
31.2% |
Positive likelihood ratio |
1.5 |
1.4 |
Negative likelihood ratio |
0.4 |
0.03 |
PPV: Positive predictive value; NPV: Negative
predictive value. |
DISCUSSION
Findings of our study suggest that IAP 2015
criteria have the best diagnostic accuracy in identifying
pathological short stature in Indian children and adolescents.
The use of WHO criteria causes unwarranted work-up in a
substantial number of subject, while that of IAP 2007 misses
pathological causes.
Studies have shown a higher prevalence of
short stature as per WHO charts compared to IAP 2007 and IAP
2015 in privileged school children around Pune, and New Delhi
[6,7]. These studies; however, did not evaluate predictive
accuracy of these charts for pathological short stature. The
present study demonstrated that IAP 2015 criteria correctly
reduced the number of Indian children with short stature
requiring evaluation. The use of IAP 2007 growth charts lowered
the number of subjects requiring evaluation at the cost of
missed pathology in many.
To the best of our knowledge, this is the
first study determining the predictive accuracy of currently
available growth charts in India in identifying patho-logical
short stature. The conduct of the study in a pediatric endocrine
clinic may have increased the proportion of subjects with
pathology. Retrospective analysis of case records represents
another limitation of this study. However, a protocol-based
evaluation by a single pediatric endocrinologist across the
study period and review of structured records ensured diagnostic
categorization in most of the cases.
Our observations suggest a superior
diagnostic accuracy of IAP 2015 over IAP 2007 and WHO growth
charts in identifying pathological short stature. Further
studies looking into the predictive accuracy of these criteria
in identifying pathological short stature in different clinical
settings are required.
Acknowledgement: Dr Vaman Khadilkar
for providing macro for calculation of standard deviation score
as per WHO, IAP 2007 and IAP 2015 criteria.
Ethical clearance: Regency
Hospital Limited Institutional ethics committee; RHC-IEC-16036
dated September 11, 2019.
Contributors: RP, NA, CD, HM, RS: patient
management and data collection; RP did literature review,
statistical analysis and drafted the initial manuscript; AB:
patient management, conceptualization and planning of the study,
critical review of the manuscript and would act as guarantor of
the paper.
Funding: None; Competing
interest: None stated.
WHAT THIS STUDY ADDS?
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IAP 2015 criteria have superior diagnostic accuracy
in identifying pathological short stature in Indian
children compared to WHO and IAP 2007.
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