CM Nascimento-Carvalho and Y Benguigui*
From the Department of Pediatrics, Faculty of
Medicine, Professor Hosannah de Oliveira Pediatric Center, Federal
University of Bahia; Alian~ Hospital; Salvador, Bahia, Brazil; and
Pan American Health Organization*, Washington DC, USA.
Correspondence to: Dr. Cristiana
Nascimento-Carvalho, Department of Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine,
Federal University of Bahia., Rua Prof Aristides Novis, No. 105/120
IB -Salvador, Bahia., Brazil CEP 40210-730. (e-mail:
nascimentocarvalho@hotmail.com)
Manuscript received: July 15, 2002, Initial review
completed: August 20, 2002; Revision accepted: June 24, 2003.
Abstract:
This was a hospital based prospective study to
determine the cut-off respiratory rates which can identify
children (age
≤14.5
yr) with severe pneumonia with chest indrawing and to evaluate the
validity of the cutoff respiratory rate so obtained in identifying
severe pneumonia requiring hospitalization. All children diagnosed
with pneumonia (radiologically proven) between September 1997 and
October 1999 were enrolled. Of 1,665, cases, 54.7% were males; the
median age was 1.8 yr (range 8 days-14.5 yr, mean 2.8 ± 2.7 yr).
Frequency of hospitalization, tachypnea and chest indrawing were
29.9%, 58.9% and 42.7%. In hospitalized children, cutoff
respiratory rate
≥57,
≥48
and
≥36
were found to identify severe pneumonia requiring hospitalization
in the age groups 2-11 mo, 12-59 mo and
≥5
yr, respectively.
Key words: Chest indrawing, Hospitalization, IMCI,
Tachypnea, Pneumonia.
Acute respiratory infections (ARI) are the most
frequent illness in childhood(1). Mortality from ARI is highest in
infants and, out of the total ARI-related deaths, pneumonia may
account for up to 75.5%(2). The incidence of pneumonia in the
developing countries is up to 10 times higher than that in developed
ones(3). In addition to that, pneumonia is considered the most
frequent cause of death in children aged < 5 years, living in the
poor areas of the world(4). Difficult access to health care and
delay in receiving health assistance are associated with such a high
mortality(5).
In order to reduce mortality due to pneumonia in
developing countries, the World Health Organization (WHO) has
proposed the Integrated Management of Childhood Illness (IMCI)
Strategy(5,6), which is a single and integrated approach to assess,
classify and treat children at first level health facilities(7,8).
In the IMCI, pneumonia is diagnosed by the presence of tachypnea
defined as: ≥60 breaths/minute among children aged <2 months, ≥50
breaths/minute among children aged 2-11 months and ≥40
breaths/minute among children aged 12-59 months. Among children with
pneumonia, the presence of chest indrawing, somnolence, convulsions,
grunting, severe malnutrition or inability to drink indicates need
for hospitalization(5,6).
In this investigation, we sought to determine
cutoff respiratory rate for different age groups to be associated
with hospitalization and to evaluate the validity of these cutoffs
and of the presence of chest indrawings for indicating
hospitalization.
Subjects and Methods
We attempted to enroll prospectively every child
diagnosed with pneumonia from September 1997 to October 1999, at the
Emergency Room (ER) of the Professor Hosannah de Oliveira Pediatric
Center (PHOPC) and at the Pediatric ER of the Alianca Hospital (AH)
in Salvador, North- east Brazil. The PHOPC serves children
predominantly of lower socio-economic status. The AH is a general
private hospital, and caters children from middle to middle-upper
and high socio-economic status. The duty pediatrician collected
demographic and clinical data on a standardised data entry form,
read the chest X-ray during the consultation and made the
assessment for hospitalizing. The diagnosis of pneumonia was based
on presence of radiologically confirmed infiltrate. Pediatricians
were informed about the WHO Guidelines for ARI before the beginning
of this investigation and were reminded of them during the study
period. They were also trained to fill out the research form and
were blinded to the purposes of this study. Admission to the
hospital was verified by cross-reference with the computer file of
the respective hospital.
Statistical analysis was performed by using SPSS
9.0. For children aged <5 years, tachypnea was defined according to
WHO criteria(5,6) and for children ≥5 years, tachypnea was defined
as ≥30 breaths/ minute(9). Means of continuous variables were
compared by Mann-Whitney U or Student t test, as appropriate. 95%
confidence interval (95% CI) was reported for each mean and mean
difference. The statistical tests were two tailed, with a
significance level of 0.05. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and
negative predictive values and likelihood ratios were calculated to
assess the validity of clinical findings. The study was approved by
the institutional review board of each hospital and by the Ethics
Committee of the Faculty of Medicine of the Federal University of
Bahia.
Results
Of 1,656 eligible cases. 54.7% were males. The
median age was 1.8 years (range 8 days to 14.5 years, Mean 2.8 ± 2.7
years) and 29.9% were hospitalized. Overall frequency of tachypnea
was 58.9% and stratified frequencies were 63.4%, 65.7%, 64.2% and
31.7% for children aged <2 months, 2-11 months, 12-59 months and
5-14.5 years, respectively. Overall frequency of chest indrawing was
42.7%. Table I shows the stratified frequency of chest
indrawing by age and the analysis of the respiratory rate according
to hospitalization. By analyzing the 95% CI of respiratory rate, (Table
I) we found the respiratory rate 57, 48 and 36 to be possible
lower cutoffs to define severe tachypnea for children with pneumonia
aged 2-11 months, 12-59 months and 5-14.5 years, respectively.
Table II shows the assessment for hospitalization of chest
indrawings and severe tachypnea as defined by WHO(8).
TABLE I
Stratified Analysis of Respiratory Rate(RR) from Children with Pneumonia
|
Age
|
Respiratory Rate
|
< 2 mo
|
2 -11 mo
|
12-59 mo
|
≥ 5 yr
|
Hospitalized children N(%)
|
45 (63.4)
|
169 (41.7)
|
236 (26.4)
|
45 (15.7)
|
Mean ± SD
|
65 ± 18
|
59 ± 14
|
50 ± 16
|
40 ± 13
|
Median
|
62
|
60
|
50
|
40
|
Range
|
35 -140
|
28 - 100
|
20 -145
|
20 -84
|
95% CI
|
60-71
|
57-61
|
48-52
|
36-44
|
Chest indrawing (%)
|
68.9
|
58.6
|
57.2
|
40.0
|
Non-hospitalized children N(%)
|
26 (36.6)
|
236 (58.3)
|
657 (73.6)
|
242 (84.3)
|
Mean ± SD
|
64 ± 11
|
54 ± 14
|
42 ± 13
|
32 ± 10
|
Median
|
63
|
52
|
40
|
30
|
Range
|
47-85
|
22-100
|
15-96
|
10-62
|
95%CI
|
59-68
|
52-55
|
41-44
|
31-34
|
Chest indrawing(%)
|
65.4
|
44.1
|
37.6
|
23.1
|
Mean difference in RR(95% CI)
|
1 (–6,9)
|
5 (2,8)
|
8 (6,10)
|
8 (5, 11)
|
P value*
|
0.7
|
<0.001
|
<0.001
|
<0.001
|
The whole group N
|
71
|
405
|
893
|
287
|
Mean ± SD
|
65 ± 16
|
56 ± 15
|
45 ± 15
|
34 ± 11
|
Median
|
62
|
56
|
42
|
32
|
Range
|
35-140
|
22-100
|
15-145
|
10-84
|
95%CI
|
61-68
|
54-57
|
44-46
|
32-35
|
Chest indrawing (%)
|
67.6
|
50.1
|
42.8
|
25.8
|
Independent samples t test or Mann-Whitney U as appropriate.
TABLE II
Assessment for Hospitalization of Chest lndrawing and Severe Tachypnea
Characteristic
|
Age |
|
2-11mo |
12-59mo |
≥5yrs
|
Severe Tachypnea*†
|
Sensitivity
|
(99/169) 58.6
|
(136/236) 57.6
|
(30/45) 66.7
|
Specificity
|
(137/236) 58.0
|
(431/657) 65.6
|
(157/242) 64.9
|
Predictive value positive
|
(99/198) 50.0
|
(136/362) 37.6
|
(30/115) 26.1
|
Predictive value negative
|
(137/207)66.2
|
(431/531)81.2
|
(157/172)91.3
|
Likelihood ratio positive
|
1.40
|
1.68
|
1.90
|
Likelihood ratio negative
|
0.71
|
0.64
|
0.51
|
Chest indrawing* |
Sensitivity
|
(99/169) 58.6
|
(135/236) 57.2
|
(18/45) 40.0
|
Specificity
|
(132/236) 55.9
|
(410/657) 62.4
|
(186/242) 76.8
|
Predictive value positive
|
(99/ 203) 48.8
|
(135 / 382) 35.3
|
(18/ 74) 24.3
|
Predictive value negative
|
(132/202)65.3
|
(410/511)80.2
|
(186/213)87.3
|
Likelihood ratio positive
|
1.33
|
1.52
|
1.73
|
Likelihood ratio negative
|
0.74
|
0.68
|
0.78
|
Chest indrawing or Severe Tachypnea*
|
Sensitivity
|
(139/169) 82.2
|
(181/236)76.7
|
(31/45)68.9
|
Specificity
|
(88/236) 37.3
|
(304/657) 46.3
|
(129/242) 53.3
|
Predictive value positive
|
(139/287) 48.4
|
(181/534)33.9
|
(31/144)21.5
|
Predictive value negative
|
(88/118) 74.6
|
(304/359) 84.7
|
(129/143) 90.2
|
Likelihood ratio positive
|
1.31
|
1.43
|
1.48
|
Likelihood ratio negative
|
0.48
|
0.5
|
0.58
|
*Results in (n/N)% .
† Cutoff respiratory rates ≥57, ≥48 and ≥36 for children aged 2 -11 months, 12-59 months
and 5-14.5 years, respectively.
Discussion
By comparing the lower limit of the 95% CI of
respiratory rate from hospitalized children with the upper limit of
the 95% CI of respiratory rate from non-hospitalized children, one
can see that they do not intersect in age groups ≥2 months. (Table
I). These findings mean that respiratory rate is statistically
different when hospitalized and non-hospitalized children with
pneumonia are compared, in each age group. In children <
2-month-old, respiratory rates are very similar in the two groups.
However as all such younger patients must always be hospitalized for
treatment(8), there may not be much role of defining respiratory
rate cut-offs as a marker for hospitalization. In children aged ≥2
months, the mean difference 95% CIs are narrow, probably due to
sample size.
Table II shows that the assessments of severe
tachypnea, as defined previously, and of chest indrawing for
hospitalization are very similar. That is, severe tachypnea and
chest indrawing are associated with hospitalization in children with
pneumonia at similar strength, in terms of their sensitivity and
specificity. We wonder if training PHC worker to count the
respiratory rate for diag-nosing pneumonia and classifying pneumonia
severity simplifies the IMCI without loss of accurate management of
childhood illness.
The importance of tachypnea as a clinical
predictor of pneumonia was first established in 1982, when tachypnea
was characterized in a qualitative way(10). Afterwards, several
studies sought to establish the respiratory rates to be used to
define tachypnea as a diagnostic criterion for pneumonia(11-15). In
almost all studies regarding tachypnea, only children under 5 years
of age were enrolled because mortality from ARI is highest in this
age group(2). In addition to that, tachypnea is much less frequent
in children with pneumonia aged ≥5 years(9). However, two previous
studies have proposed respiratory rate cutoff for defining tachypnea
in the latter group of children(9,16). That is why this
investigation also studied those patients.
We suggest that, in the absence of the known
signs of very severe pneumonia, cut-offs for severe tachypnea as
determined in this study may be used as indicators for
hospitalization. Further studies are needed to validate this
proposal and to evaluate the performance of health worker by using
only the respiratory rate or the respiratory rate and recognition of
chest indrawing in the evaluation of children with ARI.
Contributors: Both authors contributed to
design, conduct, analysis and drafting of the study.
Funding: This study was supported by the Pan
American Health Organization.
Competing interests: None stated.
|
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